12th May. Market Moves of the Day

Poland Ekstraklasa – Relegation group PlayOff 17:00 Slask Wroclaw VS Widzew Lodz

Not much action on moves and in the markets. This game is probably one of these where people get involved based on some rumors + supposed big strength differences.
Slask unfortunate not to convert at least one of their chances against Piast last game. They were better, got more chances, shots or 12 corners kicks to 3 but domination is useless if you don’t score. Slask without the important Kokoszka in defense but his replacement should be enough for Lodz.

Lodz without Melunovic but also Batrovic who is among their key guys in the midfield. Lodz played a solid game vs Cracovia last round but remains in the bottom of this relegation group. The bad news for them is that they are a very very poor travelling team. Added to the fact that they finished last of the regular season with the worst attack + defense of the whole league, they also were the worst team on the road with 0 wins and 1 draw, the rest (14 games lost!!) record on the road: 0-1-14 8:33..

Based on overall quality, awful road record, Slask supposed to win here in people mind and moves support this idea with drops of 0.08 pts average in European bookmakers, Asian bookmakers recorded about 0.10 pts drops on home -0.75 going from average 1.90 to 1.80.


Norway Tippeligaen 18:00 Sandnes Ulf Vs Rosenborg

The small “ants” Sandnes bottom ranked with only 1 win after 7 rounds, one of the relegation battle favs and holding the worst attack of the league and the worst defensive record (along with some other teams), will try to surprise against the “Giant” name Rosenborg. Despite a red card for their opponent last game, they managed to let Sarpsborg 08 to score a second goal and take a win over them. It shows how limited this team is and why it could be one of the game to look at today. Decamps and Martin won’t play here for suspension and injury when long term injured Johansson is still out in defense.
Rosenborg without Gamboa in defense when some other players are upon a late fitness test question mark. They were outplayed by the leader Molde last round and eager to bounce back here to be back in top 4 but also to don’t start to bring too many doubts in heads and dressing room, as playing another poor game ending in a negative result vs Sandnes would be like a big down in morale for sure.
This game seems to have been ignored by Monday bettors yet and maybe an opportunity to spot something ?



Category: Daily Analysis

Written by: Arsene

Date: May 12, 2014