15th May. Market Moves of the Day

Russia Premier last round:  15:30 Cska Moscow VS Lokomotiv Moscow

Quite interesting today games in Russia or Belgium with very tight scenarios and games.

Cska have the title in hands in case of victory here. If they draw, it would be enough also because of the only danger for the title (in case of draw here)is coming from Zenit victory.

Actual table:

CSKA 61 pts (playing vs Loko today!)

Zenit 60 pts

Loko 59 pts

Points then H2H games then goal diff then more goals scored in case of equal points for any team after this round to decide the winner of the season.

Cska clearly the best team of the season at home with 12-1-1 record! 9 games won in a row home + away included or 8 wins in a row at home! 3rd best striker Ahmed Musa is rated doubtful for this game when usual midfield Milanov is suspended.

Loko can snatch the title here IF THEY WIN. Maicon is still injured in offense (but “only” the 4th best scorer and Tarasov still long time injured.

Loko will count on their defensive solidity as they are the best defense of the league with only 22 goals allowed and holding the best away record of the league (with zenith so for “ goals less scored they are rated 2nd best away team but points, W-D-L all the same)

Clearly people staked their money on CSKA to win (advised by our experts in early tips here with drops in European bookmakers from average 1.92 to around 1.76 now when Asian bookmakers recorded drops from 1.95 to 1.76 on -0.50 line. Money way analysis here 87% of the bets in Betfair were on home win (65K€ staked out of a total of 75K€ on this game).


Russia Premier last round:  16:30 Kuban VS Zenit

Second decisive game for the title in case of none of CSKA or Loko wins this afternoon. Zenit has to make everything to win here and expect someone to struggle big in our main article of the day game.

Kuban still without long term injured forward Baldé and Tlisov still injured as well. Kuban has nothing to play for and will try to spoil the Zenit chances here that is all about them.

Zenit started well their probable title game best chance last round with a 6th min goal scored by Danny to take a 1-0 lead vs Dinamo! But they unexpectedly allowed 4 goals and a late 2nd goal putted the score still in a awful 2-4 loss to come for them when fans entered on the pitch to hit players etc… 87th min game was stopped and Zenith lost it 0-3 due to pitch invasion, game abandoned etc.. Very stupid scenario but now a win only and a draw in the other game or Loko victory would give them the title! Why not but opponent who has a very poor defense won’t miss some counters or set pieces to try to delay the Zenit hopes to wn this one.

Zenit with easily the best attack of the league will for sure put all their offensive power in this game from the start to try to win and stop the suspense here and cross their fingers for CSKA to miss the 3 pts vs Loko.

Market haven’t invested at all in this one where no big moves were recorded (okay drops on home but price was a way too high in some early opening bookmakers).


Belgium - Jupiler League 19:30 Genk VS Club Brugge

Genk last ranked of this play off group has nothing to play anymore, no special hopes, just to play fair vs Club here. But with only 2 wins in the last 10 games, there is hard possible ways to think they could hold a very motivated Club team for an entire game during. The attack has been a way too poor in this play off phase to rely on it to spoil the Club chances tonight.

Club Brugge with a very unfortunate and undeserved loss vs Anderlecht 2 rounds ago and a serious 1-0 win over Standard last round make them able to catch Anderlecht maybe tonight if they take more points than them. Rival Anderlecht won’t have an easy game vs a veryyy solid home team tonight (see below analysis). Brugge will have to reshuffle his midfield line because of 3 missing in this zone! After Odjidja-Ofoe already injured last game, they got Jorgensen and Simmons suspended here!

These 3 recent missing probably well included in the opening odds in European bookie cause almost no moves on this game when Asia got few small drop from average 2.00 to 1.92 on away -0.75.


 Belgium - Jupiler League 19:30 Zulte-waregem VS Anderlecht

Zulte 2nd best home team of the season with ZERO loss in regular phase on their pitch! Even the 2 losses already recorded in this play off group were on the road! Last match was a more than deserved win over Lokeren 3-1. Conte is still suspended in the midfield but they welcome back Sven Kums in this zone of the pitch if needed.

Anderlecht is leader of this play off group and the title in hands If they dare to get a good enough result here first! This travel won’t be easy and with already long terminjured Suarez + Best scorer Mitrovic injured before the previous game is back and they will also rely on in form Bruno (who scored twice vs poor Genk last round).

Bettors are not fools here with very slight moves on home to get a result rather than Anderlecht to take a win.


Category: Daily Analysis

Written by: Arsene

Date: May 15, 2014