30th May. Market Moves of the Day

Italy as usual in end of season got mega big stakes in Betfair on some outcomes and we could see every year + last rounds they are often accurate… Let see some of  the biggest impacted games by moves:


Italy - Serie B 19:30 Palermo VS Crotone

Incredible 250K€+ on DRAW at Betfair here!

Palermo without few players still as last round exactly + Lafferty and Maresca not sure to be fit.

Crotone in the last positions of play off for promotion and can be reached and pulled out of play off if they lose and Bari for example wins in this last round.

Scenario: Here Palermo who is already champion of Serie B since many rounds is supposed to be ok to “help” Crotone to share the 1 pts each and then help Ternana to get out of the danger of Bari eventual wins.

Italy - Serie B 19:30 Virtus Lanciano VS Cittadella

Here 72K€ ON DRAW at Betfair!

Cittadella already under big money on DRAW last round and did it of course… Here they are supposed to be helped by Lanciano who has nothing to play for anymore, to get 1 pt with a draw and avoid any danger that Varese 2 points behind, could put them in this last round into the relegation play off with a win (if Varese wins tonight and Cittadella lose)

2 long time injured for Lanciano since the start of season + 3 suspended for this game! All regulars: Burchel, Turchi and Mammarella.

Away team without 2 long/medium term injured players + Paolucci injured and 2 suspended ! Pellizzer and Djuric.

Italy - Serie B 19:30 Empoli VS Pescara

Solid money on Empoli + drops on them in Europe + Asia. Around 0.12 pts drops average in European bookmakers but some like early openers Marathon got 0.35 pts drops! Asia got 0.48 pts drops on AH -1!!!

Empoli very solid team who is 2nd ranked and fighting in this last round for direct promotion in Serie A. To be sure to be promoted and don’t expect the 3rd ranked team Latina to steal them this DIRECT promotion spot in this last round, they need a win in case Latina wins and they lose = playoffs for promotion instead… Empoli was not fortunate (even if big big stakes on draw were registered at Betfair and it sounded then fishy) last round in a 2-0 early lead vs Cittadella when they picked up a red card and allowed 2 goals for a 2-2 draw ft. Empoli's head coach Maurizio Sarri is suspended for this match. There are one absent players at home team's squad, regular left back Hysaj (32/- LB) is suspended.

Pescara will miss out Brugman (35/4 AM), Rizzo (23/- DM), Belardi (21/- GK), Bovo (11/- CM), Cosic (13/- CB) and Fornito (1/- AM) they are both injured. Balzano (33/- RB) is suspended. Zuparic (21/1 CB) is called up to the national team. Three other players are also injured, but since long time ago. Svedkauskas (1/- GK). Pescara nothing to play for anymore and even won only 1 out of last 10 games! With so many players missing and difference of level between both, it sound logical to get people taking home.

Category: Daily Analysis

Written by: Arsene

Date: May 30, 2014