Biggest game with money involved at Betfair today with majority of money on Portugal to win but also opposite trends in Asian bookmakers for example with moves on Greece +1 to now mostly Greece +0.75 (1 entire AH line move down) and in European bookmakers Greece price went down average from 6.86 to 5.47.
Logical move as Portugal ok did fine recently if we only look at the results but they played some quite vulnerable teams. C.Ronadlo also helped much his quite average team to skip some embarrassing situation; he will be missing here + pepe who is also another charismatic leader. WC coming in few week snow and hard to see this team already average without these two players, to play full of energy and risk any injuries so close to WC.
Greece simply will try to do something here with these 2 missing for Portugal + the “honor” to potentially get even a draw versus such a name..
Quite huge moves on Home in Asia from +0.25 AH to -0.25 now!
I don’t quite exactly get where would be the value taking now the home team? Earlier MAYBE but well home team is in relegation fight battle and with full team here ok. 2 wins in last 10 games..
Kalmar ok showed some bad signs of weakness 2 rounds ago versus Hacken away from home but Hacken is quite an aggressive team at home and not a newbies one! After that (last round), Kalmar won 2-0 versus Helsingborg. Ok here they will be without the same 3-4 players as last rounds + the bench GK Soderberg..
Not sure why such big moves btw..
Quite good drops on Slovacko average from 2.01 to 1.87 in European bookmakers when Asian moved down from one entire AH line (-0.25 at opening now -0.50 about the same price). They will miss out Rada (24/- CB) because he is suspended. Simko (14/- LB) is injured. They recent form is not that bad with 3 losses in 10 games but especially at home where they usually do well : 8-2-4 record this season but overall at home 2 losses only from last 10 games played in their stadium.
Teplice will miss third best goalscorer Nivaldo (29/5 LB) because is suspended, Vachousek (29/1 LW) is injured. Bratanovic (6/1 CF) called up to the national team. Krob (23/- LB) is back, ready to play. Teplice lost their last three away match. They are not impressive at all and tend to be really weak away from home! 2-5-7 record on the road and overall 1 WIN ONLY away from home last 10 games!
Category: Daily Analysis
Written by: Arsene
Date: May 31, 2014