Biggest stakes today at Betfair are on this game (on home to win). 1,3M€ on Uruguay. Asia as quite high AH to settle on -1.25 for an opening game in WC. Home price went up on Home in Asian bookmakers which can allow a quite strange 2.00 line on total goals. No idea why 1.67 on Over 2.00 at SBO would not be worth a shot now!
Uruguay short of Suarez here is still huge favorite and should win this one. Straight win can be taken in some double or combo but Over 2.00 as Costa Rica style of play favor the idea that they could even score here. Hard to see only 0-1 goals here so rather safer bet on Over 2.00 in your tickets likely.
507K€ on Home here quite opposed to Asian market which moved very very big on Away +1 or +0.75 early on this game. I would really say that now at -email@example.com on the market it is worth a shot on home. +1:-1 was likely too high, but this line and price are not obviously too wrong!
Falcao out for Colombia but still plenty of talent and speed, offensive mind here. Greece with an average level to me and more used to punish on counter or steal some points. But here it is another tupe of team who will press them for sure from the start and their really big talent coach knows his stuff when it comes to get results with young and senior players from South America.
Already 0.13 pts down on AH -0.50 in Asian bookmakers but it seems even not enough as still value there for me.
Too many people remind HJK last season who was so untrustable! Under this coach it is another story, they started average but accelerated and won like 6 in a row or so. Last game, the coach likely did a small mistake by rotating his team a bit too much and added to few missing (despite a good bench), it was not enough to keep the winning streak alive but they managed to take 1 point draw 0-0. Now a big game is expected with 3 players back in team who were missing last game + the ones who were rested like Teemu Taino etc..
VPS is a small team with already few injured players and short bench. It is hard to cope with that for them and Morrissey is one of the master piece and missing since many games cost them a lot of power hugely awaited.. They always rely on their solid defense but here few guys like Sillanpaa (their main GK still out) or Lahti missing in defense along with Morrissey still out + 1 bench solution in defense who is injured as well should be too much against HJK eager to bounce back asap from last round draw.
Category: Daily Analysis
Written by: Arsene
Date: Jun 14, 2014