17th May. Market Moves of the Day

English FA Cup final 17:00 Arsenal VS Hull City

Arsenal slowly got their numerous injuries back in the team recently and despite the still long term injured Walcott and less important Serge Gnabry are out, all other players will be ready to play if needed for this crucial cup game. Wenger has not won any trophy since 2005 and eager to get this one here. Arsenal showed a quite solid form recently in league with 5 wins in a row to end on a slightly disappointing 4th spot.

Hull finished a poor way in Premiership with a spot just over the relegation zone but 1 win in the last 8 games was not that pleasant for the Tigers! They will have a very hard game vs hungry Gunners. Without Jelavic and Shane long who are their best weapons who are both cup tied.

It is the most attractive market in Betfair in term of money placed with around 514K€ placed on Gunners out of 586K€ on this game! Price was clearly settled and quite easy to estimate not too wrong there so both European and Asian markets have not quite moved on this one. Arsenal getting some adjustment down of around 0.10+ pts on AH -1 but it was expected as big fav here.


Spain Primera Div 15:00 Real Madrid VS Espanyol

Real Madrid with most their best offensive weapons back from injury to try to finish the best possible way with style and a victory here and why not dreaming that Atletico could beat Barca and snatch them the 2nd spot for the honor in this last round.. They will likely be quite motivated to keep the best attack title of the league this season alive meaning to keep the actual 2 goals difference with Barca alive. Lopez in the nets will be a blow for sure and Pepe absentee as well but on this, Real should be able to cope.

Espanyol without anything to play and probably happy if they can spoil the 2nd place and chances to get the best attack of the season chances of their enemy Barca down. I am not saying that in a scenario where Atl Madrid could beat Barca, as said above, Real with a win here could be happy to steal the 2nd spot to Barca, and Espanyol rivalry with Messi club is well known.. 7 games without a win for Espanyol is showing how their mid table position has nothing interesting here recently for them.

Very small moves down on a super fav Real here of few points only in both European bookmakers and Asian.


France Ligue 1 last round 20:00 Monaco VS Bordeaux

Monaco odds went up clearly or let say people especially went on +1 AH for Bordeaux after some news of a big rotation from Ranieri in Monaco squad. Monaco showed already some disappointing games recently and even gave th Title to PSG by a very sleepy and sooo boring draw vs Guingamp. Few players like Berbatov showed recently when they got few mins of play, they are professional, many others already got their head elsewhere with the summer break and WC coming.

Ranieri was also announced leaving the club when actual Sporting Lisbon coach is likely to replace him following last news. Ranieri will rotate very big here but the truth is that bench guys will maybe be far more motivated to play and try to win here. Dirar, Carasco, Abdennour, Raggi or Berbatov are not that poor for L1 level especially a quite average Bordeaux without most their offensive guys like Bellion, Jussié or Henri Saivet.. GK Roma will be in the net and announced the end of his carreer. It will be a special game for him and that is still a favorite Monaco who will start here. Ok the prices has to be adjusted down a bit of few points at least after these news, but be careful not to underestimate the supposed “B” squad of Monaco here.


Category: Daily Analysis

Written by: Arsene

Date: May 17, 2014