2nd June. Market Moves of the Day

Sweden : Allsvenskan 17:00 Aik VS If Brommapojkarna

2nd most in form team last 6 rounds behind the hot Malmo going to hosts one of the worst away team and also one of the poorest team of this division until now. Price have not moved much but some 12K€ were placed on Betfair on home to win. Quite logical/usual stuff in a calm day and period as now to see people backing favs especially in such opposite form/level difference.

AIK played a quite disappointing defensive game last round versus the very strong Malmo! They allowed Malmo to take the game in charge first and Malmo even hit the woodwork in the first half. But AIK took an interesting 2 goals lead quickly around mid – game with the score opener first by Markkanen just in the last seconds of the first half, then added a second goal on 58th min! Yes but sadly for them, their defense was not strong enough to cope with Molins talent who scored the 1-2 reducer before to miss a penalty kick at 80th min (very poor shot!) but finally Malmo managed to equalize at 2-2 during the injury time (94th min!). Frustrating for AIK but showing how this top half team is also sleeping in defense too often to claim for a real leading position aim. The 17 goals allowed in 11 rounds is in the average goals allowed for the bottom teams area. Important scorer Borges is still out as previously + Milosevic and Dimitriadis.

Probably not much value on Home when Over seems a good choice for example as Bromm is used to open the play as their last game where they exploded 0-3 vs Halmstad or the round before when pushing big and numerous chances, they missed a penalty kick and got punished by Mjallby undeservedly. Yes this team is trying to score instead of defending in big number as many low ranked teams, but defense then suffering big also! We could see in the analysis on Aik that the home team also is opening the games usually but defense is not at his best this season. Bromma without Larsson, Ozkan, Tronet, Eriksson and Albornoz.


Sweden : Allsvenskan 17:05 Hacken VS Ifk Goteborg

Slight moves on away here, nothing big as European bookmakers recorded average just very few points move down and Asia recorded slightly more drops of 0.05 pts average.

Hacken is an offensive minded team (best attack of the league) especially when playing at home! But they are not that poor away from home either with a solid win over leader Malmo (At Malmo!) some round ago. Today, in their stadium where they beat convincingly Kalmar 4-1 2 rounds ago, they will be hosting the best defense of the league IFK Goteborg. Hacken will miss out Jeremejeff (2/- FW) for injury reason.

Ifk Goteborg quiet solid in defense then and they have not lost since 9 rounds (ok the took 6 raws in this period + 3 wins only). So here on AH 0 (DNB), people see them hardly lose as they did recently. IFK Göteborg will miss out two regular players. Waehler (9/- CB) and Svensson (10/- CM) are both suspended. Alvbage (5/- GK) and Sobralense (2/- AM) are both injured, but long time ago.

Norway : Division 1 17:00 Sandefjord VS Ham-kam

Here today few trusted tipsters added their voices on Sandefjord to win and even beat the -1 AH so price went down a bit more. In European bookmakers, home moved down slightly only but Asian moved down of 0.13 pts average.

Yes many things pointing out the home team to win here. Sandefjord is a reliable defense (2nd best of this division) and best home defense as well. Attack is the third of this division so it is going quite well. They only have defender Bindia suspended here.

Ham-kam  doomed in midfield and defensive options with Heidar Juliusson (Mdf 11/0), Lagerblom (Mdf 5/0), Kris Hagen (Mdf 6/0),Emil Sildnes (Mdf 1/0), Jevne Hagen (Mdf 3/0)and Fredrik Skjolstad (Mdf 3/1) all outs! 1 win only this season, worst attack of this Division and a very weak 0-0-6 2:12 record away from home!


Adding as today games to keep under the radar, that Dundalk vs UCD in Ireland premier is a likely winner and saw their chances increased (already helped by total opposite trends/form/level/ranking)as UCD will be without: Ben Mohamed (5/1 LW) Clarke (6/1 CF), Kavanagh (14/- CM) for injury reason. Crowe (7/- AM) is called up to the national team. Douglas (12/- RB) is suspended.           

Category: Daily Analysis

Written by: Arsene

Date: Jun 02, 2014