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17th May. Market Moves of the Day

English FA Cup final 17:00 Arsenal VS Hull City

Arsenal slowly got their numerous injuries back in the team recently and despite the still long term injured Walcott and less important Serge Gnabry are out, all other players will be ready to play if needed for this crucial cup game. Wenger has not won any trophy since 2005 and eager to get this one here. Arsenal showed a quite solid form recently in league with 5 wins in a row to end on a slightly disappointing 4th spot.

Hull finished a poor way in Premiership with a spot just over the relegation zone but 1 win in the last 8 games was not that pleasant for the Tigers! They will have a very hard game vs hungry Gunners. Without Jelavic and Shane long who are their best weapons who are both cup tied.

It is the most attractive market in Betfair in term of money placed with around 514K€ placed...


16th May. Market Moves of the Day

Finland : Veikkausliiga  16:30 Hjk Helsinki VS Mypa

Already some logical drops on away (see here) in European bookmakers to adjust down mostly their prices too high at opening (average from 7.86 to 7.04) when Asian bookmakers are down average 0.16 pts (Avg 2.05 TO 1.89 on +1.25 AH) on this “safer” and likely too big line/price.

Hjk confirmed quite too much what many thought before this season, it won’t be that easy this season and if it happens, it will take time. Hjk quite struggled lately to kill their games or to impress. Quite low scoring numbers, only one game with 3 goals scored for example compared to their supposed power and that was against an “already in chaos “ and quite weak KuPs. They even managed to lose already 2...


15th May. Market Moves of the Day

Russia Premier last round:  15:30 Cska Moscow VS Lokomotiv Moscow

Quite interesting today games in Russia or Belgium with very tight scenarios and games.

Cska have the title in hands in case of victory here. If they draw, it would be enough also because of the only danger for the title (in case of draw here)is coming from Zenit victory.

Actual table:

CSKA 61 pts (playing vs Loko today!)

Zenit 60 pts

Loko 59 pts

Points then H2H games then goal diff then more goals scored in case of equal points for any team after this round to decide the winner of the season.

Cska clearly the best team of the season at home with 12-1-1 record! 9 games won in a row home + away included or 8 wins in a row at home! 3rd best striker Ahmed Musa is rated doubtful for this game when usual midfield Milanov is...


13th May. Market Moves of the Day

France Ligue 2  19:00  Caen VS Nimes

Caen and Nimes is a strange match. Because both team will need one point to be promoted in L1 for Caen and 1 point for Nimes means to avoid relegation. Many moves, talks and bets from all around the world on the DRAW as outcome! 69% of the bets at Betfair (60K€) placed on “X”. We are not lover of these kinds of theories, who sometimes happens, sometime not. A smart punter would have taken very early the highest price on draw and trade it later, now the price on the DRAW is for sure nothing worth, no value at all.

Caen is the best attack of L2! 62 goals scored in 36 games! Here without 2-3 players who are not key like Saez replaced by Agouazi. Montaroup is still injured (since 4 games already) and Felipe Saad since a long time. Caen was already involved in 1-2 strange games where much money has been placed...


12th May. Market Moves of the Day

Poland Ekstraklasa – Relegation group PlayOff 17:00 Slask Wroclaw VS Widzew Lodz


Not much action on moves and in the markets. This game is probably one of these where people get involved based on some rumors + supposed big strength differences.
Slask unfortunate not to convert at least one of their chances against Piast last game. They were better, got more chances, shots or 12 corners kicks to 3 but domination is useless if you don’t score. Slask without the important Kokoszka in defense but his replacement should be enough for Lodz.


Lodz without Melunovic but also Batrovic who is among their key guys in the midfield. Lodz played a solid game vs Cracovia last round but remains in the bottom of this relegation group. The bad news for them is that they are a very very poor travelling team. Added to the fact that they finished...


11th May. Market Moves of the Day

 Italy Serie A 11:30 Atalanta Vs Milan.

Atalanta will be missing here many players especially in the defensive line with 3 regular outs (including central defense). The Colombian Former PSG/Milan defender Mario Yepes along with the other “key” Stendardo and even Lucchini. Adding players like Livaja or cover players Estigarribia or Cazzola to the missing list. They have nothing to play anymore sitting in the middle of the table and we could feel that a bit in their recent results (have not won in 5 rounds).


Milan AC at the total opposite just beat the “enemy” Inter 1-0 and won 6 out of the last 7 games. They are still chasing more than never the Europa league spot that is some point ahead and need to keep winning during the last 2 rounds to come and hoping for a small miracle (teams ahead...