Norway – Eliteserien 17:00 Haugesund VS Molde

Biggest money game in Betfair today with 18K€ on Molde out of 20K€ on this game. Molde average moved down of about 0.04/0.05 pts when in Asia moved down the same way.

Haugesund still without long term injured Haukas and recently also lost on injury their main GK Kristiansen. They struggled vs the other bottom team Sandnes last round with a poor 0-0. They are last ranked in this league, only 1 win in 10 matches and in this group of three bottom teams who are very weak in attack with 9 goals scored only.

Molde the total opposite, leader, 1 defeat only and 1 draw, 8 victories, best attack, best defense, best away team of the league etc.  They took a lot of time to find the nets last round despite 27 shots! They only scored vs Viking at 93th min! Nyland (regular GK), Forren and Linnes missing...

Brazil : Campeonato Brasileiro 23:30 Goias VS Santos

Goias moved of 1 entire AH  line from opening odds to be now -0.25 in the 1.9+ zone when the early opener were on DNB (AH 0).

Goias started quite ok this season with only 1 loss in 5 games.  Best defense yet of Brazil first Div with 2 goals allowed in 5 matches. They are “losing” one guy per round until now average with 5 injured now. But no key ones it seems and they are managed to cope without these recently as results showed it.

Santos a big name who struggle big until now in Brazil and situation at the table is simply 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 games. Not enough points taken in 5 games and clearly a necessity to recover form that. Yes but for this game they are in trouble without 8-9 players injured or called in NT teams…

Betfair is not fan of these markets...

Romania 19:00 Viitorul Constanta VS Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt

Third day in a row where there is huge sum placed at Betfair on home team and Asian or European bookmakers haven’t that moved or moved up slightly due to low price or “big AH” so if anything fishy inside this game the safer way is to take a big stake on home to win straight. Home -1.25 “only” dropped of 0.07 pts average when 176K€!! Where placed on home to win at Betfair representing 96% of the stake of this match on them.

Mitrea and Lazar out, Viitorul will have their destiny in hands here about relegation with a win to be short and simple here as too many scenarios in Romania today and many strange games regarding possible fix and big money involved. They are in a rather ok form with 2 wins in a row at home and only 2 games lost last 8 rounds....

Romania Liga I Final round 17:00 Steaua Bucuresti VS Otelul Galati

Odds dropped on Steaua in European bookmakers of 0.10 pts average when in Asia, 1 entire AH line move down was done from -0.75 to -1.

Steaua will rotate a bit their squad here very likely with cup final coming in few days. Still that their bench is deeper than today opponent. Steaua finished champion with the best defense and attack of the league, only 1 defeat all season!

Otelul German coach Lienen also without few players, will decide in the last mins maybe to give some chances to players who played less this season (rotate a bit ?) They finishing now in the mid table and with the 2^nd worst defense of the entire league + away from home, they will have some hard moments to live here likely.

All in all it is a typical game where a mixed team of Steaua...

Italian Serie B  17:00 Bari VS Cittadella

Here our main match today mostly because of the quite big money involved here in Betfair + some Asian dropping for such small league.

51K€ staked so far on Bari to win here out of a total of 55K€ wagered. Around 0.07 pts down in European bookmakers on home when Asia dropped of average 0.09-0.10 pts on Bari -0.50. Not huge drops but added to the money placed in Betfair, we can see as yesterday difference between Asia almost not dropping and Betfair huge stakes placed, that Italy is a special league to read and here we could have something to read..

Bari has huge objectives to play for in the last 2 rounds (+ this one who is the third one then). 1 point below promotion playoff, they can start to pressure big the team(s) ahead as with a win here for example they would steal the last promotion spot...

Italy Serie A Last round 19:45 Fiorentina VS Torino

Very big money today on Torino to win and be back in European competition 20 years later! 132K€ out of 138K€ placed on this game are on Torino to win. It is some quite strange moves of money knowing that Asia and European bookmakers have not registered anything special on it or some moves at the opposite (0.05/0.07 pts drops on home in Asian bookmakers).

Diakite and Wolfski already missed last round and are still out here, adding Ryder suspended and Defender Savic injured now, Gomez rated doubtful in attack. Rosati in the nets last 2 games and disaster start vs Sassuolo for a 3-4 defeat did it about ok last game with no goal allowed for a short 1-0 win over Livorno. Now regular GK Neto is finally back in the nets and that is a good news. Viola has nothing special to play here, maybe just avoid finishing...