Sweden : Allsvenskan 17:00 Aik VS If Brommapojkarna

2^nd most in form team last 6 rounds behind the hot Malmo going to hosts one of the worst away team and also one of the poorest team of this division until now. Price have not moved much but some 12K€ were placed on Betfair on home to win. Quite logical/usual stuff in a calm day and period as now to see people backing favs especially in such opposite form/level difference.

AIK played a quite disappointing defensive game last round versus the very strong Malmo! They allowed Malmo to take the game in charge first and Malmo even hit the woodwork in the first half. But AIK took an interesting 2 goals lead quickly around mid – game with the score opener first by Markkanen just in the last seconds of the first half, then added a second goal on 58^th min! Yes but sadly for...

Sweden – Allsvenskan 13:00 Helsingborg VS Falkenbergs Ff

Quite solid moves on away team! Betfair for example went from 7.00 earlier to around (.00 then now a bit up but still quite a big difference from opening odds. Asian bookmakers went up of almost an entire AH line –from -1 on home to -0.75 now meaning that people push on away +1). European bookmakers also up average of 0.07 on home

Helsingborg struggled a lot this season and only did well in cup but lost in Final of this cup. Now back since few weeks in league and fight against relegation is the actual matter and Helsingborg has clearly showed a quite poor display. They will be missing a bunch of guys here and that won’t help. They will miss out top goalscorer Accam (8/5 LW) because he called up to the national team. Accam is key player at Helsingborg. Larsson...

International Friendly 18:30 Portugal VS Greece

Biggest game with money involved at Betfair today with majority of money on Portugal to win but also opposite trends in Asian bookmakers for example with moves on Greece +1 to now mostly Greece +0.75 (1 entire AH line move down) and in European bookmakers Greece price went down average from 6.86 to 5.47.

Logical move as Portugal ok did fine recently if we only look at the results but they played some quite vulnerable teams. C.Ronadlo also helped much his quite average team to skip some embarrassing situation; he will be missing here + pepe who is also another charismatic leader. WC coming in few week snow and hard to see this team already average without these two players, to play full of energy and risk any injuries so close to WC.

Greece simply will try to do something here with these 2 missing for...

Italy as usual in end of season got mega big stakes in Betfair on some outcomes and we could see every year + last rounds they are often accurate… Let see some of  the biggest impacted games by moves:

Italy - Serie B 19:30 Palermo VS Crotone

Incredible 250K€+ on DRAW at Betfair here!

Palermo without few players still as last round exactly + Lafferty and Maresca not sure to be fit.

Crotone in the last positions of play off for promotion and can be reached and pulled out of play off if they lose and Bari for example wins in this last round.

Scenario: Here Palermo who is already champion of Serie B since many rounds is supposed to be ok to “help” Crotone to share the 1 pts each and then help Ternana to get out of the danger of Bari eventual wins.

International Friendly : 19:15 Denmark VS Sweden

Best prices were for most of them slashed early on this one. Denmark opened for example in Asia above 2.50 for AH-0.50 which was too high obviously.  Now prices are rather 2.35ish zone for top priced Asians. European markets also suffered drops between 0.06 average to 0.10 pts on Denmark to win. Today at Betfair, it is clearly the top money game with 80K€ in total and 54K€ of them are on Denmark.

Denmark clearly lacked of defensive solidity lately as when they faced the average Hungary and allowed 2 goals (2-2 FT). They will face another Scandinavian team with one monster talent named Zlatan Ibrahimovic who is doing most his team rain or sun but not only. Denmark remain a quite hard team to beat as their recent record is proving it. England beat them by 1 goal some time ago but the rest...

First of all, today biggest money staked at Betfair was clearly on Japan (97% of this game stakes meaning 301K€!) but no special interest to explain much about it because of both team with different form, stakes for this game, changes in lineups make it a likely outcome winner for Japan yes but probably mostly people take home to lay it at few points after few mins live and take few % profit back/lay. But people will never learn about Japan to struggle under this coach! All their last games were poor, disappointing and everyone think Japan as a force when a player like Honda is clearly over rated by too many people, even an old fox Shinji Ono playing in Australian league is far more interesting that this selfish Honda who went in all clubs of the world because thinking money first and his own mentality is not good.

International Friendly 20:00 France VS Norway

Asia...