Sweden – Allsvenskan  14:00 Kalmar Ff VS Helsingborg

One of the biggest move in Asia at today game list with opening odds on -0.25 home around 2.16 now 1.80ish zone! Home got 57% of the stakes in Betfair  where we are aware that Scandinavia is not the favourite area to bet so in our eyes the move in Asia + 0.11 pts in European bookmakers is a bit more interesting to call it as a drop.

Kalmar among top 3 until last round and best defense etc, was punished completely by Hacken 1-4. Exactly as we described here in our analysis, Hacken is very offensive minded at home, their defense still showed some signs of weakness but despite a veryyyy high % of their shots in a clinical way (8 shots out of 9 in total were on target), Kalmar managed only to score once… There is days like that sometime to forget and the best way to...

Lisbon UEFA Champions League

 Real Madrid 18:45 Atletico Madrid

The big final is here and the Biggest money game in Betfair cannot be to any other event today.  About 10 hours before of the game and more than 2.3 Millions € have alleready bet on the Match odds market. From the last week start when we have Real Madrid as a clear favorite with the odd a bit down of 2 now the odd move up and now is move arround to 2.20 .The same time in Asia the odds for the line -0.25 moved from 1.78 to 1.90.

Real Madrid will miss out the Key player Xavi Alonso through suspension and both Pepe and Karim Benzema face a race against time to be fit for the Lisbon...

Norway – Eliteserien 17:00 Haugesund VS Molde

Biggest money game in Betfair today with 18K€ on Molde out of 20K€ on this game. Molde average moved down of about 0.04/0.05 pts when in Asia moved down the same way.

Haugesund still without long term injured Haukas and recently also lost on injury their main GK Kristiansen. They struggled vs the other bottom team Sandnes last round with a poor 0-0. They are last ranked in this league, only 1 win in 10 matches and in this group of three bottom teams who are very weak in attack with 9 goals scored only.

Molde the total opposite, leader, 1 defeat only and 1 draw, 8 victories, best attack, best defense, best away team of the league etc.  They took a lot of time to find the nets last round despite 27 shots! They only scored vs Viking at 93th min! Nyland (regular GK), Forren and Linnes missing...

Brazil : Campeonato Brasileiro 23:30 Goias VS Santos

Goias moved of 1 entire AH  line from opening odds to be now -0.25 in the 1.9+ zone when the early opener were on DNB (AH 0).

Goias started quite ok this season with only 1 loss in 5 games.  Best defense yet of Brazil first Div with 2 goals allowed in 5 matches. They are “losing” one guy per round until now average with 5 injured now. But no key ones it seems and they are managed to cope without these recently as results showed it.

Santos a big name who struggle big until now in Brazil and situation at the table is simply 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 games. Not enough points taken in 5 games and clearly a necessity to recover form that. Yes but for this game they are in trouble without 8-9 players injured or called in NT teams…

Betfair is not fan of these markets...

Romania 19:00 Viitorul Constanta VS Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt

Third day in a row where there is huge sum placed at Betfair on home team and Asian or European bookmakers haven’t that moved or moved up slightly due to low price or “big AH” so if anything fishy inside this game the safer way is to take a big stake on home to win straight. Home -1.25 “only” dropped of 0.07 pts average when 176K€!! Where placed on home to win at Betfair representing 96% of the stake of this match on them.

Mitrea and Lazar out, Viitorul will have their destiny in hands here about relegation with a win to be short and simple here as too many scenarios in Romania today and many strange games regarding possible fix and big money involved. They are in a rather ok form with 2 wins in a row at home and only 2 games lost last 8 rounds....

Romania Liga I Final round 17:00 Steaua Bucuresti VS Otelul Galati

Odds dropped on Steaua in European bookmakers of 0.10 pts average when in Asia, 1 entire AH line move down was done from -0.75 to -1.

Steaua will rotate a bit their squad here very likely with cup final coming in few days. Still that their bench is deeper than today opponent. Steaua finished champion with the best defense and attack of the league, only 1 defeat all season!

Otelul German coach Lienen also without few players, will decide in the last mins maybe to give some chances to players who played less this season (rotate a bit ?) They finishing now in the mid table and with the 2^nd worst defense of the entire league + away from home, they will have some hard moments to live here likely.

All in all it is a typical game where a mixed team of Steaua...