Italian Serie B  17:00 Bari VS Cittadella

Here our main match today mostly because of the quite big money involved here in Betfair + some Asian dropping for such small league.

51K€ staked so far on Bari to win here out of a total of 55K€ wagered. Around 0.07 pts down in European bookmakers on home when Asia dropped of average 0.09-0.10 pts on Bari -0.50. Not huge drops but added to the money placed in Betfair, we can see as yesterday difference between Asia almost not dropping and Betfair huge stakes placed, that Italy is a special league to read and here we could have something to read..

Bari has huge objectives to play for in the last 2 rounds (+ this one who is the third one then). 1 point below promotion playoff, they can start to pressure big the team(s) ahead as with a win here for example they would steal the last promotion spot...

Italy Serie A Last round 19:45 Fiorentina VS Torino

Very big money today on Torino to win and be back in European competition 20 years later! 132K€ out of 138K€ placed on this game are on Torino to win. It is some quite strange moves of money knowing that Asia and European bookmakers have not registered anything special on it or some moves at the opposite (0.05/0.07 pts drops on home in Asian bookmakers).

Diakite and Wolfski already missed last round and are still out here, adding Ryder suspended and Defender Savic injured now, Gomez rated doubtful in attack. Rosati in the nets last 2 games and disaster start vs Sassuolo for a 3-4 defeat did it about ok last game with no goal allowed for a short 1-0 win over Livorno. Now regular GK Neto is finally back in the nets and that is a good news. Viola has nothing special to play here, maybe just avoid finishing...

English FA Cup final 17:00 Arsenal VS Hull City

Arsenal slowly got their numerous injuries back in the team recently and despite the still long term injured Walcott and less important Serge Gnabry are out, all other players will be ready to play if needed for this crucial cup game. Wenger has not won any trophy since 2005 and eager to get this one here. Arsenal showed a quite solid form recently in league with 5 wins in a row to end on a slightly disappointing 4^th spot.

Hull finished a poor way in Premiership with a spot just over the relegation zone but 1 win in the last 8 games was not that pleasant for the Tigers! They will have a very hard game vs hungry Gunners. Without Jelavic and Shane long who are their best weapons who are both cup tied.

It is the most attractive market in Betfair in term of money placed with around 514K€ placed...

Finland : Veikkausliiga  16:30 Hjk Helsinki VS Mypa

Already some logical drops on away (see here) in European bookmakers to adjust down mostly their prices too high at opening (average from 7.86 to 7.04) when Asian bookmakers are down average 0.16 pts (Avg 2.05 TO 1.89 on +1.25 AH) on this “safer” and likely too big line/price.

Hjk confirmed quite too much what many thought before this season, it won’t be that easy this season and if it happens, it will take time. Hjk quite struggled lately to kill their games or to impress. Quite low scoring numbers, only one game with 3 goals scored for example compared to their supposed power and that was against an “already in chaos “ and quite weak KuPs. They even managed to lose already 2...

Russia Premier last round:  15:30 Cska Moscow VS Lokomotiv Moscow

Quite interesting today games in Russia or Belgium with very tight scenarios and games.

Cska have the title in hands in case of victory here. If they draw, it would be enough also because of the only danger for the title (in case of draw here)is coming from Zenit victory.

Actual table:

CSKA 61 pts (playing vs Loko today!)

Zenit 60 pts

Loko 59 pts

Points then H2H games then goal diff then more goals scored in case of equal points for any team after this round to decide the winner of the season.

Cska clearly the best team of the season at home with 12-1-1 record! 9 games won in a row home + away included or 8 wins in a row at home! 3^rd best striker Ahmed Musa is rated doubtful for this game when usual midfield Milanov is...

France Ligue 2  19:00  Caen VS Nimes

Caen and Nimes is a strange match. Because both team will need one point to be promoted in L1 for Caen and 1 point for Nimes means to avoid relegation. Many moves, talks and bets from all around the world on the DRAW as outcome! 69% of the bets at Betfair (60K€) placed on “X”. We are not lover of these kinds of theories, who sometimes happens, sometime not. A smart punter would have taken very early the highest price on draw and trade it later, now the price on the DRAW is for sure nothing worth, no value at all.

Caen is the best attack of L2! 62 goals scored in 36 games! Here without 2-3 players who are not key like Saez replaced by Agouazi. Montaroup is still injured (since 4 games already) and Felipe Saad since a long time. Caen was already involved in 1-2 strange games where much money has been placed...